Never fond of Monday's but today was not actually half bad. Tonight I can access and use Twitter on my mobile phone but I cannot use any of the buttons or post tweets on my desktop computer. No one seems to have much of an idea about this. If you can help, email me or use the comments section.
Position Review and Thoughts on Rotation
I have been long a few stocks for a while now. After a few down days and some positive market movement today, it's a great time to review all 5 and see where things stand.
Opened a position on 1/31/12. The setup was a long intact uptrend and a move over the $34 range which was anew breakout area. Today's chart:
Opened a position on 1/31/12. The set up here was a clear move out of a very tight basing channel. The accumulation volume had been excellent as well. $38.50 was key zone to clear. Today's chart:
Opened a position 2/1/2012. To be fair this should have been stashed in my long term account. I have every indication that BANR will cross up and over $20 and run, just maybe not soon! May have been a little early here. Today's chart:
I worked on this one with a friend a while back but I missed the fireworks around 1/20-1/23. After that I was playing resolution of the bull flag as (opened position on 2/8/2012) seen in today's chart:
Opened a position on 2/8/2012. I had worked on this chart (and about 10 others) the night before and I just liked the action so I bought a spot. Today's chart:
So all in all the 5 are not bad open positions nor in any real trouble. So what's the problem?
How many times did I use the words "pause", "resistance", "cooling off" in the selections above?
Even on market down days many names have been running well. Granted I tend to stay away from the hottest sectors (biotech, solars, chinese egg rolls) but many other things have been moving. The 5 above had real momentum coming into where I bought them, yet have slowed down.
So it could be benign reloading and the age old "resting, wants higher" sort of thing. Hopefully that is what it will turn out to be.
On the other hand there is another side to rotation of money, especially at the upper ranges of longer rallies. That means when things are moving they gather interest and steam, but as soon an it stops (resistance, news, etc) money moves along.
I think most understand rotation as it relates to sectors. Money leaves bonds say and goes to riskier assets. Buyers may walk away from the utility sector and instead chase semiconductors higher. That's well established.
What I am seeing some signs of (not absolutely, not definite) is buyer rotation from a binary choice: moving vs. non- moving.
There are some good examples in the names above and some others on screening names I have saved. Be aware and keep an eye on your positions. If they have been moving and see a pause, it's important they continue to keep moving. If they are supported by strong technicals and the momentum has been there, a walk away from buyers may mean you are holding a "non-moving" name and money will be rotating out. I may have a few in the above names myself.
Have a good night.