Extreme Kid Dynamite
Kid Dynamite has a post up today titled:
Kid Dynamite Slaughters a Cow
And no this does not involve my northern neighbor using alcohol to roll with some unsuspecting college ladies in his youth or taking some huge pot off a tourist in Las Vegas in Hold'Em, he actually helped butcher a cow! I kid (pun intended) you not! Check it out if you like but note MY WARNING, IT IS GRAPHIC! Way to go man.
Today had a few wrinkles in the tale of foreclosure fraud saga. First off, a bill was sprinted through the Senate (it had already passed the house on many occasions) that would have made changes to notary laws in relation to interstate commerce. I am no lawyer and I hate this stuff because I don't have a grasp on it, but there is evidence this new law if signed by the president could be played to help skirt around the lack of proper documentation rampant in these matters.
In a move worthy of hefty praise, President Barrack Obama used the "pocket veto" by which he will not sign the bill into law by just letting it exist in limbo. While I think the original plan for this bill may have made sense, there is NO reason now to rush it through until a better grasp on the laws regarding foreclosures can be examined. I offer well deserved thanks and praise for President Obama on this one, it was the right thing to do and went against the house, senate, and banking lobby all at the same time which I love.
Calculated Risk has a guest post by Tom Lawler up that asks:
Foreclosure-Gate: Who Will, and Who Should Pay?
Lawler has been creepy spot on with his housing sales numbers so I read him close! He thinks mortgage servicers will have to pay. That would be nice, but the taxpayer is the easier option!
I will say two things about this. First, I still believe that some new law will be passed to make all the short cuts legal and absolve the banks. There is NO WAY the banks are going to have to open the books and really be checked on this, I am not sure it is even possible. So far I am the only writer that has predicted this and has since the beginning. It does not fit the narrative that banks get clocked.
On the other hand, and second (on purpose I did that!), this story made the NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams and it lead the whole show! That is serious coverage. People are pissed about this (why now, why not before you lunatics!). There is no way a law can be done before the elections. I can see a new CONgress after the election passing a law to save the banks and then hope that voters forget (they will) but that will take time. One can hope for something real change.
SLV Was Good to Me
Back on August 30, 2010 I entered into my biggest trade ever. By trade I mean something I was using in a very short term time frame, maybe a month give or take. I was attracted to a silver play due to macro factors and this coupled nicely with an attractive chart pattern that I favor. I decided to make a move, which I covered here, to go for the gold, I mean silver!
(NOTE: In the post I stated about 50% of my trading portfolio went into this trade, and the exact number was 58%)
I placed my sell order last night for the whole position. Why?:
-My first target (most confidence) was $22 which was already passed
-My upper target was $24 which was getting a bit tired looking
-$23 split the difference, and I wanted to give NOTHING back
So here is the breakdown:
Buy $18.70, sell $22.88 (where my orders where filled)
Short term gain of 22%!
In case you are wondering, I had no idea gold and silver would get moved lower today so much, I just made the move last night.
I am ahead of my own yearly target for 10% returns and I have enough extra to rock on out to the Bahamas on October 22-October 25th so there will not be a Friday night post that week! Here is where I will be:
I would buy you all a drink, but it is all inclusive!
I Submit as Evidence Exhibit A
Some call me a nut job. Some call me a "gloom and doomer". Some label me as a pessimist. Do what you want I say.
I have spilled pixels enough on the ruinous policy of asset bubbles, I don't want to go over all that again. Instead how about a headline and a chart?
From this morning over at Reuters there was this gem which I saved a screen shot of in case it changed (it had not at time of writing; if it does change or get lost I have the picture):
Fed is banking on phony wealth effect
A nice section:
So, there you have it: pump up asset prices and hope that people spend some of the ephemeral gains. The idea that people will spend more if their houses and other assets rise in value is called the wealth effect, but this policy creates only pretend wealth.Nasty!
I know plenty out there think they will of course wind up with all the loot at the end. Some will, but not me and no one I know! You cannot invest in such an environment, only bet or trade if you want to call it that. When every few years some monster percentage of your "gains" in whatever vanish, what can you do?
Pragmatic Capitalist was kind enough to supply permission to repost this chart (last one in this post) that shows the extremes which we can expect to continue should the FED/Whole crew succeed in their goals:
The red line is the "plan" for recovery. How is that going to happen?
The title of the post was excellent as well:
DID THE CONSUMER EVER RECOVER FROM THE NASDAQ BUST?
I can only answer, No. But they thought they did.
My man Mark is a huge believer in long term trend lines, and I am as well. I think you can figure these out on your own.
For my man that has a reputation as being a bit testy on the trading desk, I offer my version of:
Have a good night.