Tonight I think there have been several additional developments on stories I have ran over the week and I will spend time on them. I will close with a more philosophical musing inspired by one of my favorite authors.
How Do You Write Anything After This?
In what is perhaps he ultimate summation of all things finance, I submit this take from Jesse's Cafe Americain:
The US financial crisis is always and everywhere caused by the triumph of short term greed in support of Ponzi schemes and frauds, perpetrated by a handful of Wall Street bankers and their accomplices in the political process and the media, facilitated by the wholesale weakening of the American mind and character and European and Asian greed and gullibility.How do you write anything after that? I agree 100%.
Everything else is commentary.
Still, I will write tonight, that's why they pay me the big bucks after all. Oh, I do not get paid? Well, whatever.
Rumors Are All the Rage
A late day spike across the board lifted stocks out of a multi day semi slide. What was the catalyst? Nothing is for sure, but rumor was a frontrunning of the extension of the homebuyer tax credit. Home builders across the board (KBH, TOL, etc) jumped late day and other stocks followed for reasons known only to the privileged few. Why homebuilder stocks would rally when the vast bulk of sales generated by this credit is at the LOW end of housing (not McMansions) is lost on this writer, but then again I miss all kinds of things.
About that Tax Credit
I am shocked, shocked to find out fraud and cheating is running rampant in the housing tax credit program. Who would do such a thing? What kind of people are these anyway? (link from The Golden Truth):
Home buyer tax credit fraud called 'disturbing'The only thing I want to add to this train wreck is that there is a provision that one must stay in the house for 3 years otherwise they tax credit has to be paid back. Here is a simple equation that even Keynesian's can follow:
WASHINGTON (Reuters) — Thousands of individuals claiming the first-time home buyer's $8,000 tax credit may have been trying to scam the system, including purported 4-year-olds and illegal immigrants, according to a watchdog report released Thursday.
Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration J. Russell George told a House panel that more than 19,000 people filed 2008 tax returns claiming the credit for homes they had not yet purchased. George said his office had identified another $500 million in claims, by some 74,000 taxpayers, where there were indications of prior home ownership.
He told a House Ways and Means oversight subcommittee that they also found 580 taxpayers under the age of 18 who claimed $4 million in first-time home buyer credit. One was 4 years old.
"Some of our findings, while preliminary, are somewhat disturbing," George said. Among the most striking instances of fraud include 4-year-olds, non-U.S. citizens and IRS employees inappropriately claiming the benefit, he said.
NO IMMEDIATE FLIP GAIN = DELAYED BUT GUARANTEED FORECLOSURES + MORE WORK FOR THE IRS
Heck of a job, Stimulus!
Credit Cards: The Street Offers Better Rates
With Citi making the move to 30% rates on credit cards, you knew the whole crew was going to get in on this as well (via Clusterstock):
Now Chase Is Jacking Up Credit Card Fees (JPM)
Now Economic Disconnect grew up in a big city, and maybe, possibly heard through 3rd party sources (of course all hearsay mind you) about loan sharks. In 1992 a street rate was 25% on a 3 month loan. While far above the rates by the credit card companies (and with a much stiffer penalty for non performance!) the rates are rapidly converging.
Not to worry. As all the proponents of more government oversight tell us, Big Brother has your back and your best interests at heart. Want proof? Here is the headline (via Clusterstock again; those guys write a lot!):
Bernanke Says There's No Rush On Regulating Credit CardsLook, for all you optimists out there that continually tell me I am crazy that because I think the FED is no smarter than your average 6th grader, allow me to replay that this line:
Despite the fact that some banks are charging as much as 79% yearly interest rates, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke insists that Congress must use caution when the it comes to future credit card regulation:
Boston Herald: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke warned Congress this week about efforts to move up the effective date of tough new rules for credit card companies, saying such action could hurt consumers as much or more than help them.
"Creditors must make extensive changes to their systems and business models in order to comply" with the new rules, Mr. Bernanke said.
Opponents of moving the date to Dec. 1 fear that credit card companies would push the costs of complying the laws earlier than expected on to consumers.
Mr. Bernanke said that the Federal Reserve can’t predict how speeding up the effective date would affect the availability of credit and rates on credit cards.
-"Mr. Bernanke said that the Federal Reserve can’t predict how speeding up the effective date would affect the availability of credit and rates on credit cards."
Now I am not an expert, but I think "predict" means to know beforehand, while all Bernanke has to do is pick up a newspaper. Or read this blog. Glad we are all protected. Oh, the Humanity!
Baloney is Just a Really Big Hot Dog
My two baloney submissions for today are:
-Via Naked Capitalism
The Problem is not "Too Big to Fail" but "Too Difficult to Resolve"
In fairness this submission is not entirely the author's, Yves Smith, final take but the presentation implies she agrees.
I will not recount the details, you can read them. Now kindly explain to me how we can land little robot rovers within 3 meters of target on the planet Mars (the equivalent of making a "nothing but net" basketball shot from Bangor Maine to San Diego California) and nobody in the world, not even the fools that made the problem, can figure out how to resolve the issue. No Way Period.
Besides, Goldman Sachs was so happy to tell the world that they are fully hedged no matter what happens, even if a New Stone Age should one occur. If every entity in the financial world is hedged so perfectly so that no problem can harm them, than lets call the bluff. I think you can see something does not quite fit here.
In the spirit of all the "Exit Strategies" that supposedly the FED and the government have to extricate themselves form all things financial, let us see how that is going:
-First up, another adherent to the organic growth without jobs club, the least popular club in high school:
The growing case for a jobless recovery
So what if the 2-3% GDP growth is entirely from government spending?:
Christina Romer on Impact of Stimulus on GDP
Who needs jobs when the government can make up the difference. What was that? You said the government revenues, which should pay for this stuff, is obtained from taxes on the working, who have no jobs? You are naive! Stand in the corner!
Not to worry, whether it is CASH FOR ....toasters, refrigerators, washing machines, boilers, DVD players, dental floss, car batteries, cell phones, underwear, your wife, or cookware the government will spend what is necessary and avoid any large votes so nobody gets upset. It is death by a million small spending plans (and no, no cash for your wife, I made that up):
Like it or not, here comes more stimulus
Stimulus, the Never Ending Story.
Philosophy, is the Talk on A Cereal Box
Thanks for the lyrics Edie!
One of my favorite writers, Ilargi, of The Automatic Earth has an expansive introduction tonight that I think should be required reading for anyone of voting age, and a forced read for any elected politician in the nation. Here is the link.
While I hate to excerpt such a fine piece, I have too. First up:
Back to where Paul (Ron Paul) misses the truth about the end of the economic system. Sure, not baling out the broke banks would have been a start. It would, however, not have solved the problem, not even close. The libertarian class, of which Paul poses as a great defender, and to which Mike Shedlock is a proud subscriber, claims that the issue is not capitalism or the free market. (After all, these are their deities.) For them the trouble all starts -and ends- with government and its rules and regulations.As a Libertarian I really wanted to see if I have been missing something. More:
In other words, the free market system has failed America miserably. Well, at least in this instance, and that by itself should raise very grave doubts about that system.I concede this point. The buying of government is the single most powerful argument against Libertarianism.
And it's not all that hard either to see why that is. If you let market participants free to pursue what is in their best interests, without forcing them to give priority to society's best interests, they will eventually figure out that the best single investment they can possible make is to buy the government. That allows them to make the laws. Which is detrimental to the rest of society, and leads to the sort of mess we're in right now, which even libertarians concede is not desirable.
The next segment is key:
So you would have to prevent that from happening. For which you need laws and regulations to keep those market participants out of the government. Since free market guys and dolls don't want regulations, they have no solution to offer. Exit left, center stage....Truly insightful writing. I wonder where we would be with writers like Ilargi around for the last 20 years.
...Capitalism might or might not work only if and when you could keep corporations out of the government. If you can't, disaster is assured for everyone but the corporations.
I agree here, but with a caveat.
There is a poker saying, which sadly has had so much repeating it has become another cliche:
"If you can't spot the fish (poor player) at the table, you are the fish"
So in the game of life in the USA, who is to blame for the crisis?:
-The Capitalist Ideals?
As always the answer is right in front of us all, but ignoring it is much easier.
The fish at the table is YOU.
(By YOU I do not mean the many readers here or at TAE, or many other fine sites, I mean the general public).
Ilargi captures the very essence of the problem:
"Capitalism might or might not work only if and when you could keep corporations out of the government."
And whose responsibility is it to do that? Corporate America? The Government? Are you on drugs?
The responsibility is yours, the voter. Amazed by the government money that pays your salary, astounded by the public works money that builds a park on your block, mesmerized by the never ending unemployment benefits that make not working less upsetting (you think that is out of concern, man you are naive!) you allow the same crop of politicians to sit at the houses on Congress for years never ending.
We, the voters are to blame. We accept the corporate worlds influence on our government as if it is natural. This is because, given the same circumstance, most regular folks would do the same. This is disgusting.
Every other year there is this thing called an election. Whether you are Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Green, Martian, or from Canada you at some point will have to place your bias aside and start removing those that stand in the way of progress. Take Ben Bernanke's testimony about credit cards today. He should be gone. Nobody can reasonably argue otherwise. Any party, any man or woman, that stands behind Bernanke after today deserves whatever he/she gets down the road.
The corruption, the fraud, the utter failure that is the US Capitalist system will end when voters stop allowing for people to be "human" and demand that they be "public servants". I have laid it out. Want to lay odds on it happening? I do not.
Have a good night.