Saturday, December 31, 2011

Happy New Year!

That eve once again is upon us.

Market Themes for 2012
After 2011, I am going to skip the "this will happen" sort of thing for 2012. I think it will be best to be ready with an open mind. It is likely several things will present themselves in the first 3 months of 2012 which will be important for the entire year. I want to be ready to see them.

As for my own ideas for the New Year there are three things I want to be more diligent about which would have made a big return difference in 2011:

-Allowing runners to run. It was reactive to jump out with a small to medium gain in a trade that was working. Not many, but several of these trades became longer term winners if held through a bit of volatility. Identifying the most sound moves up will extend gains.

-Focus on extreme sentiment inflection points and place the correct, forceful bet when the time comes. If the manic market continues, these spots may prove to be both somewhat common and very profitable.

-Do not trade so much. The first half of the year I would open my best 2-3 ideas, and then add on 3-5 other ones I felt had promise. I will work to stick to my best 3-6 ideas at a time (usually in short term account looking to play a 2 week resolution of a pattern or target) and give them the right amount of attention.

I feel very fortunate to have broadly expanded the readership of Economic Disconnect in 2011. I have to thank many people for all the links, ReTweets, and kind words that allowed this to happen. It's amazing really.

Let's keep it running in the New Year.

Happy New Year
In the New Year try to do one thing that I suggest; email, leave a comment on a blog, or talk to someone you have wanted to. Take a chance and you never know where that may lead you.

Evening Music
Going to load a few of my favorite songs of this year (I heard them for first time, maybe older than 2011) and a New Years Eve performance.

"Two of the Lucky Ones" by The Droge and Summers Blend:

Nightwish's tearfully pretty song "Sleeping Sun":

I tend to spend New Years right in my living room, its just safer and more fun. In 2006 The Bangles did a performance of "Hazy Shade of Winter" that just rocked the house:

Have a good night.


Alex J. Cavanaugh said...

Nighwish! Excellent choice.
Happy New Year, my friend.

EconomicDisconnect said...

Happy New Year back Alex! Are you getting the Thai food tonight? Was great to find your site this year.

GawainsGhost said...

Happy New Year!

Another year, another mediocre Cowboys team. Do you know that Dallas is 1 game over .500 for the last fourteen, soon to be fifteen, years? They're 1 game over .500 now! I am not very confident going into this game at New York.

But I have to believe the Cowboys will win. It's the masochist in me. I live to see the anguished look on Jerry Jones's face. I also live to see the confused look on Jason Garrett's face.

Anyway, enjoy the holiday, GYC. Participate in some spirits. And have a good time.

As for watching the season finale tomorrow night, think of it as watching the stock market. A total disaster.

EconomicDisconnect said...

I really hope the Cowboys win. Would be extra sweet to have no NY teams in the nFL playoffs this year. Give Pats a better shot. Have a drink on me Gawains.

GawainsGhost said...

This is probably the greatest rock and roll song ever.

Yeah, I'll pay your cab fare home
You can even use my best cologne
Just don't be here in the morning
When I wake up


Jennifer Hillier said...

Happy new year! Hope you get everything you want in the coming year. All my best.

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