As I have said many times, the real payoff of writing this blog is the readers that stop by again and again. The feedback and discussion in the comments section is my first click when I get on the computer. Loyal reader Kevin often posts well thought out macro comments that always get me thinking. In response to Friday's post Kevin dropped a line in the comments section that had plenty of depth and insight. reproduced here with permission:
The dollar is strong because gold is not a medium exchange for most purposes, and every frigging county is trying to do the same damn thing at the same time which is devalue their currency and run massive fiscal stimulus programs and running up budget deficit in the west, or in the east so they can export to us or to try and create inflation and inflate away the debt. The Yen is about the only exception and that has thrown Japan straight into a depression as the carry trades unwind due to deleveraging. Gold is also benefiting as this happens due to people in other countries buying it because their currencies are collapsing at a faster rate then the dollar which is used to settle international trade or at least what's left of it.
The real danger is a major policy blunder by these asshats in DC if they blow up the bond market it's over lights out end of story and the likely hood of that happening can not be understated. Argentina death dance.
One of the item on Obama's list was to back the unions while this would have been ok in boom time it is not good when the economy is in the toilet headed into a deflationary spiral. Labor is a commodity just like anything else and if there is a sh#t pot full of supply and zero demand prices or in this case wages must fall.
The problem with BARF is that the debt is still there, it doesn't matter if the banks hold it or the taxpayer until this stuff is flushed there will be no recovery and things will only get worse.
I starting to think the only requirement that there must be to be in Congress is to have flunked basic math.
Well thought out analysis that puts what you read in the mainstream media to shame.
Loyal reader Lisa writes her own blog, and I encourage her to leave a URL that we can use to check it out. Same goes for any reader that writes. I am always looking for sites to read, and will happily post your URL's for the readers here to take a look. Debate and the trading of ideas is the best way to learn and grow.
What Protections Do We Have From the Government?
Iceland collapses. The UK was near collapse. Russia is looking weak in the currency department. China is seeing unrest as workers are losing jobs. Japan looks to be as bad as any time during her "Lost 20 years and counting". The US had major structural issues well covered here and other places.
There are some worrying items that keep popping up that have made me think about just what kind of protections we as private citizens may or may not have against the government. Consider these two items:
-California Suspends State Tax Rebates
Faced with a busted budget and no free cash flow, California has stated they will issue I.O.U's instead of state tax refunds this spring. What if the Federal government went the same way? What would you do? What could you do?
I understand that this item had a ton of circulation among the more right wing type of publications. Let me say for the record I have never heard or read credible evidence that the US Congress have even considered this move. Be that as it may, the country of Argentina went right ahead and took private wealth in 401k's and made it the government's money to hand out, invest, and lose as they please. There are plenty of folks at the DAVOS economic summit floating similar ideas. What if your retirement money was taken in by the US government? What could you do?
The two examples show clearly that when money is involved the average joe is powerless. The FED continues to expand their powers under amorphous language. Terms like "the FED can expand its role in the interest of economic stability" are very troublesome. Who is to say "NO" to outright grabs of private property and money?
Now you may think I am wearing a tin foil hat right now. But what is so different between the government using trillions of taxpayer money to bailout the banks (when such action is running about 70% opposed by the public) and taking over 401k's for cash flow help? Why not suspend all tax rebates in the interest of "economic stability"? Why not limit how much cash you can withdraw from your own account to keep money at the banks? Is any of this out in left field?
I am at a loss to think of a clear course of action. Obviously elections allow for removal of government members, but when do people really vote the same bums out? It seems we will have to assume things will not go too far. You know what happens when you assume though!
The web site "The Big Picture" has a quote of the day posting. Today's was pretty good so i am including it here:
"There are 10^11 stars in the galaxy. That used to be a huge number. But it's only a hundred billion. It's less than the national deficit! We used to call them astronomical numbers. Now we should call them economical numbers". —Richard Feynman (1918 - 1988)
I came across a picture of what 1 Billion dollars looks like all in physical form. No confirmation that this bundle was located in Ben Bernanke's basement waiting to be loaded into helicopters:
Have a good night.