Showing posts with label PIMCO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PIMCO. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Financial Meltdown has Gone Super Critical

You know I have tons of stuff to do but I cannot draw myself away from all the unfolding drama. I feel that adding coverage to this moment is good use of my time and I hope all the loyal readers feel like this site adds value to your information basket. Be smart and be wary my friends, the dance is about to become dangerous.

Bill Gross Tells the Taxpayer What a Great Deal is Available, it is Just One Nobody Else Wants
I hate spending so much time on one guy, but every time Bill Gross opens his mouth I wish more and more he would take me up on that steel cage match! The latest nugget of wisdom from the PIMCO bond man is this wonderful tidbit:
Reuters
Pimco's Gross: Bailout to benefit Main Street-WPost
NEW YORK, Sept 24 - The U.S. Treasury's proposed $700 billion bailout for financial firms could yield a profit of at least 7 percent to 8 percent and benefit taxpayers, Bill Gross, who manages the world's biggest bond fund, wrote in an opinion piece in The Washington Post on Wednesday.
Gross, the chief investment officer of Pacific Investment Management Co., or Pimco, estimates the average price of distressed mortgages that pass from "troubled financial institutions" to the Treasury at auction will be 65 cents on the dollar. That will represent a loss of one-third of the original purchase price to the seller, and a prospective yield of 10 percent to 15 percent to the Treasury, Gross said.
"Financed at 3 percent to 4 percent via the sale of Treasury bonds, the Treasury will therefore be in a position to earn a positive carry or yield spread of at least 7 percent to 8 percent," Gross argued. "The Treasury proposal will not be a bailout of Wall Street but a rescue of Main Street, as lending capacity and confidence is restored to our banks and the delicate balance between production and finance is given a chance to work its magic," Gross added.
Gross' estimate of double-digit returns in scooped up mortgage securities assumes lengthy ownership of the assets and is in turn dependent on the level of home foreclosures, "but the Treasury's program is, in fact, directed to prevent just that," he added. Gross manages the $133 billion Pimco Total Return Fund and helps oversee the more than $812 billion in assets at Pimco.


So this is a once in a lifetime deal that the taxpayers should be thankful for? If this wonderful return is so in the bag, how come nobody else is rushing in? Why is that Mr. Gross? I would like to further take apart this ridiculous piece, but I am confident that you, dear reader, can put it together by the sections I have marked off. What a sham. The bailout is of Main Street, not Wall Street according to Mr. Gross. OK.

Financial Meltdown has Gone Super critical


Above is a picture of a plutonium sphere as it is used for criticality experiments. There was a serious accident using this setup in 1945 that almost resulted in a nuclear accident:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticality_accident

I include this picture to try and make it clear that the financial system is close to a runaway failure on many levels. We all know about the insolvency issues thanks to fractional reserve banking. We are also facing a point where the average person is beginning to understand just how much of a sucker they are being played for.

The Bernanke/Paulson plan to pay high prices for bad assets has resulted in a widespread revolt. They would have the US taxpayer give a "Do Over" to the banking industry as they threaten the people with "The Abyss" unless this happens. There is NO REASON I can think of to burden ourselves with astronomical taxes and high credit costs for the foreseeable future when all we get in exchange is some kind of freedom to buy more useless lead paint crap from China. The game is up.

We are face with a clear choice:
1. Take the banking losses on our backs and eat the losses over time so they can carry on with business as usual
2. Just say NO and face an impaired system that will require an adjustment to a new way of living.

I cannot know what will happen if the banking system goes really bad. Nobody does. But I do know one thing; Give in to this fiscal hijacking and the failure we are trying to avoid will come soon enough. That is a fact.

It matters who you vote for. A person running for public office cannot be the sort our halls of government are filled with. All is well until something goes wrong and then of course it is too late. It matters who you vote for.

Sorry for the rant. There is just such a DIRTY feel to all of this I think there is no way to come out of it clean. The president will address the nation tonight at 9pm, and I imagine he is going to try and scare us all into stopping our faxes, emails, and phone calls against this action. I will tell you what; I AM SCARED. I am terrified that things could go bad in a hurray. I have a wife and we are taking care of her elderly mother and I could do without the stone age being pressed upon us. I am scared.

I am also fed up with this crap. I think things will pan out. I think this country has too many good people, too many good minds, and too much spirit to collapse. I think we can shatter the old banking network that has brought us to this junction and begin again.

It is decision time. There seems to be some kind of whisper about Monday being time zero for action, and I wonder what or whom is pushing that timeline (hello Japan and China!). I do not like being pushed. In fact I am a bit tired of all the poor treatment my money and my efforts has been put through over the last 10 years. Everyone must do as they feel is best, but my vote is for finding out if "The Abyss" means the end of Wall Street and the entire universe, or just the end of Wall Streets monopoly on financial matters.

Have a good night.

Friday, September 5, 2008

Friday Night Fights

Thanks for the kind words on the renovation project. Working for a living is rough stuff! Next up is the living room, but that only need paint, new heater covers, and a good cleaning. The never ending story.

Blog will be light on material tonight as I am as sick and mad over the current mess out there and I want to stay in a good mood. It is NFL opening weekend and I want to be positive.

Fannie and Freddie Bailout Plan at Hand
News on the wires this evening that a final plan to backstop FNM/FRE is about ready for action. Laddy freaking Da. More government jokers putting my money on the line to help banks and foreign debt holders. thanks a bunch guys. Not much detail as yet, but I am sure it is going to cause me to yell and/or throw stuff. Yahoo article here:
http://biz.yahoo.com/cnbc/080905/26564844.html

So after all the jawboning about how any backstop would not be needed, it is needed after all. Why the sudden rush now? I believe I have an answer.....

Bill Gross and a Steel Cage Match
The manager of the largest bond fund, Bill Gross of PIMCO, has come out and basically said the US government has to start putting floors underneath all kinds of assets to stave off panic and deflation. OK shit for brains, why not move to Pakistan where they are trying that very thing? Don't let the door hit you on the way out Bill. Let me get the timing of this straight; Mr. Gross pleas like a little baby for federal mass capital infusions, especially to cover the ENORMOUS amount of FNM paper that PIMCO holds to protect against losses and presto! A plan is about in place. Well color me unsurprised.

Get this Bill, I don't care what you want. I don't care if the only thing that will save me from a life of hunting and gathering to eat is a massive government sponsored backstop of all things financial. I would rather have the system collapse than keep up this charade any longer. You want to take my money and give golden parachutes to banking executives? You want to take my money and support home prices in ghost towns in Metro Phoenix? You want to take my money and keep your carp FNM paper good? I tell you what sir, you can have it. Just step right up and into a steel cage. They close the door and we have at it. Me to keep what's mine and you to take it from me. The person that can exit the cage gets his way? Are you game?

There has to come a time when we the people say No More. Enough is enough. The great credit experiment is over and it was a failure. Start looking for ways to rebuild a busted system instead of getting even more dumb and pouring whatever resources the US still might have on a lost cause. Enough said.

Friday Night Entertainment
Now that I have that off my chest, lets move along. I am sitting right now surrounded by all my books. Reading is FUNdamental ya know? As a new feature I will be posting lines from some of my favorite books. You may be able to source it by GOOGLE, maybe not. This might inspire some interest in some of my favorite books. Lets try it out with two selections form two of my favorites.

Novel Line One
"Hapscomb's Texaco sat on Number 93 just north of Arnette, a pissant four-street burg about 110 miles from Houston. Tonight the regulars were there, sitting by the cash register, drinking beer, talking idly, watching the bugs fly into the big lighted sign."

Novel Line Two
"They must have a print. Why fingerprint if they didn't have something to match it to? They were checking that van for prints. No time to see if they were checking cars too.
Van. Carrying the wheelchair with Lounds in it-that tipped them. Or maybe somebody in Chicago saw the van. There were a lot of vans at Gateway, private vans, delivery vans.
No, Graham just knew he had a van. Graham knew because he knew. Graham knew. Graham knew. The son of a bitch was a monster
."

Film Clip
One of Ray Bradbury's greatest works was "Something Wicked This Way Comes". A film adaptation was made that was pretty good. Check out this amazing sequence as Mr. Dark steals life from Charles Halloway, very scary scene:


Rock Blogging
One of my favorite bands is Creedence Clearwater Revival, but I love so many songs it can be hard to pick out just one. Take a listen to the classic "Fortunate Son":


Found a great old clip of a live Kenny Rogers performance of "Ruby". Classic tune:


Black Sabbath always gets the rep that they only had heavy stuff, but they often used blues and alternative instruments for many songs (The Wizard, NIB, etc). One immortal song is "Planet Caravan" which is just amazing:


Final song for the evening. I heard this one on the way home and it got me all amped up. Billy Idol with "Rebel Yell":


Have a good night.