Showing posts with label 2010 Trading Guide. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2010 Trading Guide. Show all posts

Thursday, December 15, 2011

The Road Ends the Same

It can be a stretch at times to meld molecular or biological themes into a financial post, but here I go again.

Convergent Evolution:
Convergent evolution describes the acquisition of the same biological trait in unrelated lineages.

For the visual example, class Aves has no real relation to class Mammalia yet we see this:
and:
From the picture narrative:
These two distantly related predators share keen, night-time binocular vision,directional hearing (via mobile ears in the cat and asymmetric ear openings in the owl, sharp claws for prey capture, and
the ability to move silently.


It's the guy that does all his tests, gets all the certification. He has seen it all on the sell side and how to move it: the dot coms, the MBS, the IPO. Studied under a wonderful market operator. Maybe he turns his back on it, maybe it was too easy.

And the guy on the other end.

Seen all of the same, reversed. He has been busted 2 times in a decade. The information age has shown him how silly and careless he was. Real time quotes are at the finger and a broad base of information is readily available.

Time frames of "investing" go down. Everyone is a contrarian, but to whom? CNBC guests? When a new IPO gets rated as it should be, a "neutral", it is only because it is a known issue.

Convergent evolution says that through the same pressures diverse players can end up in the same place. I think this is something that needs more discussion.

Have a good night.

Saturday, December 5, 2009

Weekend Bonus

It is cold here today and raining thick heavy drops that are going to change to snow. Of course this means I am in a great mood as long time readers know my longstanding hatred of the wintertime. We did get our Christmas tree today and that at least is a bit of fun. I tinkered with the blogroll to better refelct my daily reads. Please check them out.

Do They Ring a Bell?
My only serious thought for tonight concerns the current accepted thinking on the markets. They say they never "ring a bell" at the bottom, but should some things come to pass Friday will be looked upon as a close approximation of a bell being rung!

From what I can gather, here are the new rules going forward. These are all going to be very crowded trades in short order and it seems everyone just knows these things are coming. Sometimes the herd is right, other times.....
-Stronger Dollar (not many giving ranges, but I would throw out "stronger" has to be 10-20% higher from here)
-Lower Gold and Silver (maybe not $0, but at least 50% off from here)
-FED Raising Rates (unreal I know, but a spring rate hike is all the talk yet again)
-Higher mortgage rates will not hurt the housing recovery (head scratcher here, huh?)
-Job Creation Sustained into 2010 (Ok if you say so)
-Stock market which was pumped up on a weaker dollar goes up on a stronger dollar, well, because it will.

So you have been warned. Positions should be easy to figure out. Have at it.

Movie Posters
I have seen quite a few good films as of late and now I have the "Film Bug" where I am thinking of movies quite a bit. I am going to post a bunch of movie posters this evening, hope you enjoy.

Recent Hall of Fame Films
Some new classics, so if you have not seen them, you should!








Other Posters
A collection of posters of various films.

















Have a good night.