Saturday, August 7, 2010

Extra Time

I have a little extra time this evening so I am going to post some junk to fill the time.

Best Silver Chart
Longtime readers are aware that I think silver represents a killer investment for the medium to long term. The reasons are many, but you need to see this chart that Jesse had up today:

(click for larger view)
Taken together, the net short positions of the big banks would require over 160 days of silver production to settle. That is an amazing statistic. Want to get back at the big banks that have punched us all in the nose? Bust them via killing the paper silver market, take delivery of your silver. Of course we would have to bail them out again though!

Is it Real, or is it Memorex?
The rumors of some kind of government mortgage refinance plan are becoming real:
Rumors of News. News of Rumors
While yet another moral hazard joke handout to make anyone that never got in the real estate mess even more angry, the program as set up is not going to do much. Of course it is my stance that this is the next step to lube up the people for the big finale:
mortgage debt retirement via transfer large scale to taxpayers of bad debt while banks are made whole

How much? I will throw out 1.5 Trillion dollars as my guess. Any takers on the under or over? And no, nothing can really stop this from happening. Play again.

Tell Us How You Really Feel
My friend who runs The Housing Time Bomb has a great interview with Steve Wynn up tonight that is well worth a listen:
Steve Wynn Nails It!
I like that guy!

Other Stuff
Random stuff.....

-The best news I have heard in a while is that actress Jane Badler will play a role in the new TV series "V" next season. Mrs. Badler played the character of "Diana" in the original series, and she was a favorite of mine due to her fine acting skills (hee hee). She is also very easy on the eyes:


Bad girls are the best!

-Speaking of skateboards, I actually thought this scene was so cool back in the day:

Yes, that is Josh Brolin who went on to play Brand in "The Goonies" and Llewelyn Moss in "No Country for Old Men".

-This IS NOT Darth Vader:

It is the Sith Lord from the new Star Wars game, "The Old Republic". I think his character will be named Darth Malgus. Here is the newest trailer for the game, check out the laser vulcan cannon at the 1:27 mark:

So cool! I would pay big buck$$$$$ to see films made like this for the expanded universe.

-The NASCAR race tomorrow is at Watkins Glen in new York. This is a road course, which has many turns and elevation changes. For folks that hate "running in circles" this race is sure to please you! Keep an eye on #29 Kevin Harvick; he only qualified 20th but has practiced well and, well, he IS the best. Here is the track layout:

Worth a look!

Have a good night.

Friday, August 6, 2010

Friday Night and It is Go Time

Well I never would have guessed that there were so many bike riders and skate boarders out there in the audience! I loved last nights post as well as all the comments. I hope you had a good time too!

A long week is over, and of course that means the Friday Night show.

And the Band Played On
Job losses picked up again, record numbers are using food stamps, record numbers are on unemployment for record amounts of time, confidence is low, credit is contracting, bond yields would imply a total deflationary collapse, the stock market rockets higher almost weekly and the US Treasury Secretary would like to welcome you to the recovery. Does that about cover it?

What makes me shrug is how most people, especially in the media, all believe that the government would tell anyone things were bad if they were. Things are bad, yet they still smile and say "it's all in your head", which if I recall John McCains's fiance guy was savaged over that exact line, yet Timmy G gets the free pass.

I see this header for an article:
Weak Jobs Report Drives Rates lower; FED to the Rescue Again?
The FED could not rescue single strand DNA if they had the best helper phage in the world! (this is hilarious if you are a molecular biologist!) If they have to rescue things again, then how did the first 3 attempts go?

I want to ask a serious question. Do you think the powers that be would tell you if:
-wheat was about to quadruple in price?
-the oil leak was to kill 50% of all the fish in the Gulf?
-the banking system was about to collapse?
-the US was about to devalue the currency?

Now I am not saying any of these are true, that is not the point. The point is do you think they would tell you the truth about these things? If you say No then you cannot really believe anything that is parroted out as news. If you say yes, you are scaling a wall of hard evidence to the contrary of that viewpoint. It's a rough time.

Friday Night Entertainment
All right, stop what your doing, cuz I'm about to ruin, the image and the style that your used to!

Items of Interest
Some things you mat find of interest, or you may just scroll on by.

-I have no idea what the odds of this occurring are, but it has to be impossibly high:

From the Green River sediment fossils, a big fish eating a smaller one. Amazing if you really think about it.

-Was this the smartest man since Einstein?

-Who uttered the last words "Have I played the part well? Then applaud as I exit" as he died?

-Irony; Brad Pitt ruptured his Achilles tendon while filming "Troy" where he played.......Achilles!

Picture Fun
You know these are good!

This one was too cute:
funny pictures of cats with captions
see more Lolcats and funny pictures

I will never shop at this meat department:

YUCK!

Film Clips
You never know when you may need a movie idea.

At a time when you are deluged with Vampire films, I can offer my full recommendation for "Daybreakers" which was really novel and had wonderful cinematography:


I had this up a couple of years ago, but I still cannot get you to see "3 O' Clock High" fast enough! Skip to the 2 minute mark for the "book report" scene:

Classic!

Rock Blogging
Let us dispense with the pleasantries, I am here to get us back on schedule!

Lurker, who is faster than Josey Wales with a request, would like a little Linda Ronstadt and "Mad Love":

I like that lady.

Reader Gawains, who provided the greatest toy from childhood story ever, wanted "Aimee" by Pure Prairie League which I thought was the Walnut Grove local band:

I never knew who sang that song!

How about a little Smokey Robinson with "Tracks of my Tears":


Maybe we are running low on Fuel, so here is "Hemorrhage":

As an aside, the only real talent to come out of American Idol was Chris Daughtry, and here is his awesome cover.

"Animal Magnetism" from the Scorpions is a nifty tune indeed:

They should make a cologne called 'animal magnetism', I would buy it!

Two to go! Don't cry, there is always next week after all.

Complete with classic video, enjoy ZZ Top and "Legs":

I enjoyed it.

Last call! Twilight is upon us, and soon, night must fall. It is the way of things...

Maybe because I have heard it 5 million times, or maybe I like it, but closing the show with Lady Antebellum and "Need You Now":

Phones after 10pm are not a good idea, HA!

Have a good night.

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Alternate Transportation Thursday

Ever have one of those day where everyone was just very negative (variety of reasons) and you fell right into it? Well that was today. While indeed there was a really annoying development at work, it seemed like something more was going on with the dynamic today. Who knows.

Friday night is a go, so get your requests in! You can do things other than music you know!

Birthday Wishes!
For my friend and blogger, C-T,
I offer all my best for you and yours! You should have told me you were turning 29, I would have had champagne ready! All my best to you girl!

Financial Fix
A have a very fun post planned but I did want to hit a few things that I saw today.

Todd Harrison (who will always return an email, a rarity these days) of Minyanville had an interesting item up today that I think is well worth a look:
Financial Virus Permeates the System
As always the whole thing is well worth your time, but here is what jumped out at me:
Sun-tzu once said, “If your enemy is superior, evade him. If angry, irritate him. If equally matched, fight, and if not, split and reevaluate.” As we navigate uncharted waters and sail through The Eye of the Financial Storm, an increasing number of people are weighing their options -- and some of the smarter folks I know are “going dark.”

What does that mean? They’re selling businesses, unwinding trading operations, or otherwise insulating themselves from the capital markets. The underlying reasoning is straight out of an Ayn Rand novel: “I can’t compete and when I do, the rules of engagement change in the middle of the game. I’ll let the powers that be vanquish themselves and return in three to five years to sift through the remains.”

The first time I heard this, I took notice. The second time, it piqued my interest. Now, with four of five savvy seers pulling the plug, I felt compelled to communicate my observations and intuition with the Minyanville community. I’m often early and sometimes wrong but I’ll put this out there; while few are talking about this, it’s on many people’s mind.
Did I write about negative tension in the intro, indeed I did! Maybe this is related?

By now I now much better than to go up against Calculated Risk. A while back I opined that when the FED was done buying MBS, rates would go up substantially. CR disagreed and as it sits he is very much right and I am very much wrong. When the kitchen in done (if?) I will be "eating my hat" by cooking a hat of mine on the Big Steel keg and, well. eating it! That will come later.

Today I felt I wanted to double down on the other side of CR, but I think I learned my lesson. In regards to the give away program where all Fannie/Freddie mortgages that are underwater would have "cram downs" applied to forgive a huge chunk of the mortgage CR says no way and even adds this is a silly rumor. Well lets see;
-unlimited backstop...check
-midterm elections coming up.....check
-only would need maybe 800 Billion (some estimates) and that is not a big number anymore....check
-who would complain or stop it? Nobody.....check
Looks better than silly to me but I am not eating two hats! Remember, the bond market is NOT a funding source so there is no reason this cannot be done. Whether it should or not is not a question we talk about anymore in Amerika.

Alternate Transportation Thursday
My "Toy" themed post had some great feedback. One comment I want to share (I think Gawains will not mind, it's all anonymous) and the other inspired tonight's post.

From reader Gawains regarding his favorite toy as a kid:
The best toy I had as a kid was the Secret Sam spy kit.

It had a pistol that shot red plastic bullets, and which could be converted into a rifle with an extended barrel, stock and scope. The really cool thing was that you could shoot the pistol from inside the briefcase, by pushing a button on the handle.

It also had a camera that took real pictures, which you could also activate from inside the briefcase. And a periscope for peering around corners. And a plastic knife, which could be discharged by pressing a button on the briefcase. It was a complete spy kit.

I had one of those when I was in kindergarten. Of course, back then we had to wear uniforms to school--dress shirts, pants and shoes. People would see me walking down the sidewalk, on my way to class, in my uniform with my black briefcase. And they would say, isn't he cute? The young professional.

They didn't know I was Secret Sam. I was out there, peering around corners with my periscope, taking pictures, spying on everybody.

One day, this fat kid came up and wanted to know what was in my briefcase. I told him to go away. He tried to take it from me. So I shot him. POW!

He started crying, the teachers came running, I was dragged into the Principal's office. And when she opened my briefcase, I immediately went from young professional to narco terrorist. They called my parents and everything.

Yeah, that's right. I was suspended from kindergarten. For a week. Greatest toy I ever had.
Best. Story. Ever.
If you miss the comments section here you miss plenty!

Tonight's post was inspired by reader Watchtower who offered that he wanted a Schwinn Stingray more than anything as a kid, but it never happened. Here is the model in question:

That is a fine bike!

Of course this got me all nostalgic about the means of transport in my youth. Maybe you will take a ride down memory lane?

BMX Bicycles
As soon as I could, I loved riding bikes. Not unique, I know. My first bike was this crappy thing that had plastic wheels and was made out of tin foil I think. I took it over a 3 foot jump, landed, and the frame broke in half and stuck me in the leg (no stitches needed!). I was not put off on my bicycle career by such a thing.

Skipping ahead, I wanted to share the hottest bikes from my golden years of BMX riding. Maybe you had one? Maybe you wanted one? Maybe you will have no idea what I am talking about? The last one is likely, but it is my blog!

Names like GT, Haro, Mongoose, CW, Redline, Kuwahara, Diamond Back, Dyno,

A few bikes of special note:

While I never wanted a GT Performer, this bike really set off the BMX/Freestyle bike mania:

Curvy frame!

A real Hutch BMX racing bike was out of reach for any mortal kid not from a rich family as these babies were BIG Bucks but the best available:


Another bike I never saw in real life, the Kuwahara Ripper:

Nice.

Ok, you know a Porsche is a "super car" in terms of performance? Well I worked 6 weekends one summer with my dad doing railroad work, mostly rail installations, to get the dough for a top of the line racer. The Bike "Pistol" Pete Loncarevich rode to numerous victories. The bike I always wanted, a Haro Group 1 RS-1:

I loved that bike! I had it one half Summer and the next Spring I left it out one night, ONE NIGHT, and it got stolen of course. I used to sleep with the bike in my room and I forgot one freaking night. Geez.

Skateboarding Decks
Stuck with no bike and looking at quite a few weekends of work to get a new one, I passed the time building half pipe ramps and doing a little skateboarding instead. We "liberated" wood from various construction sites (I never said I was a saint!) and decks were way cheaper than bikes plus near impossible to steal from under my bed at night. I actually grew to love boarding, but I was never any good at it.

Decks are a true artist medium as every rider used his own board as a medium for expression. The graphics were really wonderful. A few selections for your perusal (most pics from the great site Skates on Haight).

My first deck, a Powell Yellow Ripper:

I have no idea why, but I liked that one!

A great friend of mine communicates his love was a Santa Monica Airlines deck, this is the Bulldog:

Very nice.

The legendary Tony Hawk and his revolutionary bottle nosed deck:

That thing was cool as all get out.

A Steve Caballero Dragon Deck:

I like it!

Finally, the baddest deck art I have ever seen, the Tommy Guerrero Flaming Dagger board:

This was by far my most wanted board. Amazing artwork.

So what happened? I had enough saved up to buy a Guerrero (they were red by then) but I had been bitten by the boxing bug! The gym was 12 miles across town so I had to buy a second hand 10-speed bike to get across town (lots of hills, city traffic) and I needed something quicker than a skateboard and more adjustable than a BMX bike. It happens!

One may wonder why I am doing these kinds of posts. I know I would wonder.

I can only say that things have been hard since my father died my second year in college (various reasons not just that) and after college things got complicated. As of late I feel that things are both hard and complicated, and I wanted to take a break and try to rejuvenate my mind and my spirit. What better way than to recall some things from a much more simple time. I can remember summers as a kid (all the way to freshman year in high school) when all I had to do was get good grades (easy!) and be home by 10pm (not always easy!). So simple, so fun. The Bob Seger song "Against the Wind" reminds me of all this.

Well, sorry to get off track. Anyways, I like this break from the usual stuff so I hope you do as well.

Have a good night.

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

What Can I say Wednesday

Some serious progress has been made in the kitchen! Things are looking good and hopefully it will not be too much longer until completion. I did not think not having the kitchen was going to be such a hassle. Live and learn.

What Can I say Wednesday
If I had any motivation to write about things economic, here's what I would say in a nutshell.

-Boom Boom Bernanke said last week that state cutbacks were a possible issue for the "recovery". Well, from his lips to the Senate's ears:
$26 Billion in Aid to States to Pass Tomorrow
There, fixed it for you. Remember, the US can issue as much debt in it's own currency as it needs, the bond market funds nothing. Why this bill is not for $2600 Billion I have no idea, but I guess a slow bleed is better than a big bang. No worries, an extension should be ready by NFL opening weekend.

-Does your state have unemployed folks that are going to lose their homes? Not anymore:
Gov't OKs $600M in housing aid for 5 states
BOO-YAAAHH!
99 weeks of unemployment and a year mortgage free! No wonder everyone wants to live in the U.S. of Free.

Where's my handout? Where's my share of the redistribution pie?

-Zero Hedge wonders how this can happen:
Stocks surging; Bonds surging; Gold Surging...

But another article there reads:
And Scene: ICI Reports 13th Consecutive Week of Massive Domestic Equity Outflows As Banks Start To Panic
Money is running FROM equities and INTO bonds. The algos move the stock markets up, and hot money chases bonds higher (lower yields). What's hard?

All you really need to know about all the moral hazard, market dislocations, handouts, free rides, refusal to learn, and whatever else comes to mind can be explained by the simple graphic below (suggested by a friend of mine):

And yes, that is a rabbit with pancakes on its head. You are welcome.

Have a good night.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Toys on Tuesday

I had fun writing last night's post. As I am fresh out of ideas or any interest in things economic once again, here is another "off topic" post.

Toys on Tuesday
What kinds of toys you had as a kid I feel is a memory that never gets booted out of the attic. Economic Disconnect's attic theorem is thus:
Everyone's mind is like an attic. There is only so much room. For new memories to become permanent, other things MUST be moved out to make room. Everyone's attic varies in size.

By the rule I can no longer do calculus nor most organic chemistry, but I can quote "Point Break" in it's entirety. What's more important?

Anyways, here are some great and some terrible toys you may or may not have had as a kid.

The Best of the Best
These toys were the big enchilada when I was a kid.

1.) Transformers
No other toy could push a young kid of age 8 or so into making his dad bring to work on weekends on the railroad to make money to buy them. Yes I did, oh yes I did!

The best ones were of course Optimus Prime and Megatron:


Great idea, slick packaging, and a kick butt cartoon all made this line wildly desired by all young boys.

2.) Photon
What does every kid that plays war want? A way to be sure the idiots you are playing with don't keep cheating and saying you missed them! Before paintball, there was photon!:


Basically a gun that emitted a light wave which could be read on a detector and say if a hit had been scored. These things worked like total crap, but at the time it was heaven on earth. Second place goes to Laser Tag, but those were just way too expensive.

3.) Pogo Ball
A sure way to roll an ankle, but also a good time! These little contraptions were small pogo-stick like thingies that you could jump all over the place with:

Classic commercial:

Again, they really did not bounce very high, but at the time that was kept quiet in the haze of bouncing euphoria.

4.) Nintendo NES
The father of all games, the Nintendo OG-riginal NES:


Now my house only had one TV that did not have the hookup for this (it was an OLD zenith) and they were way to expensive anyway, so I never had one. All my friends did though! How many hours were spent playing titles like Punchout, Mario Bros., and Legend of Zelda? Some may say Atari paved the way, and I guess that is true but this console ushered in the gaming age the way I see it.

The Bad Stuff
From time to time you would get a toy from a relative or something your Mom thought you would like, but the toy was not anything you wanted.

1.) Go-Bots
When told you like transformers, sometimes a careless gift buyer would go out and buy a Go-Bot. These toys were crap. They barely transformed, and lets face it, the cartoon was for babies. When stuck with one of these things you sought out the one kid in school that thought these were cool and traded him for something else:

The toys were made by Tonka and they should have stuck to miniature trucks.

2.) Crystal Growing Kit
This was the most dreaded of the toys if you already tried it. I was no scientist as a kid, but even I could tell it was just salt, not real crystals! Maybe one of the most disappointing moments of child hood. They should have made a "grow gold" kit instead:

A lie told to children yet we knew.

3.) Stretch Toys
This toy looked cool on TV but when you had one you quickly found out that:
-stretching a doll gets old fast
-the only other thing to do is cut it open to see the toxic gel stuff leak out

That's it and that's all. Here is an example:

BORING!

4.) Light Brite
I guess my list of bad toys really is a list of being let down or disappointed. Light Brite looked awesome. It looked fun!:


First tip off that things were going bad? It was a box with a light bulb in it. really, that's all it was. I remember thinking that it should have been a little more high tech than that. Still, that was not the major issue. What was?

Well you had to be some kind of abstract thinker or an future artist to make anything that even remotely looked like something. Most of the time my creations were just blobs of various colors that maybe looked like something if you squinted and looked at the right angle. Close second was Etch-a-Sketch but at least you could write swear words on that easily enough.

These lists are not meant to all encompassing, just what I had in mind. Add your own in the comments section.

Have a good night.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Martial Arts Monday

Thanks for all the nice comments on the food pictures. You should be honest though, if the stuff looks like crap go ahead and say so. You may not ever get a song request played again, but at least I would get some feedback on how to improve!

Bond Market is Not a Funding Source
For the second time in two weeks Pragmatic Capitalist again makes some statements about the bind market that have me scratching my head. Inside a really funny and sharp piece bemoaning the fact that anyone would listen to Alan Greenspan anymore was this item once again:
First of all, as the issuer of bonds denominated in their own currency, the US government can offer interest bearing debt instruments at whatever maturity and interest rate it pleases. As I’ve explained before, the bond market serves no fiscal purpose – it funds nothing. It is purely a monetary tool for the Fed to drain reserves and maintain control of interest rates. This actually renders the issuance of long-term bonds fairly meaningless. The reserve drain could be done with a CD, however, the government chooses to issue longer dated notes as well as short duration notes. If the government wanted to stop issuing 10 year notes they easily could (they did so with the 30 year and nothing happened to the bond market). Mr. Greenspan clearly thinks the bond market funds our spending and that this raises a solvency issue in the USA. His model is “”flawed” (not my words!).

This turns into one of those discussions on what this is or that is or how you look at things. I would offer that I have no idea what PragCap means by this and would welcome any input. Who knew we had this kind of freedom? One might wonder how it is possible that the US could ever have a downturn if we can sell debt to no end and then use that money for whatever is needed, it is not funding anything anyway.

Cool Pictorial
Saw this slide show making the rounds and it is pretty wild. A collection of color pictures taken in the US from 1939-1943. Well worth a look.
Captured: America in Color from 1939-1943

Martial Arts Monday
Some discussion over the past two days has turned my mind to martial arts movies. In keeping with my new policy of writing about a more varied set of topics, I am opening up a discussion here.

Of course the martial arts genre has numerous entries. Everyone has their favorite types of films. Here is but one example of a top ten list:
-Kill Bill vol. 1 (2003)
-Legend of Drunken Master (1994)
-Iron Monkey (1993)
-Fist of Legend (1994)
-Ong Bak (2003)
-The Seven Samurai (1954)
-5 Deadly Venoms (1978)
-Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon (2000)
-Shaolin Temple (1982)
-Way of the Dragon (1979)

Now this is not MY list, every one's own picks will vary.

I wanted to talk about two of my favorite martial arts films.

The first is Berry Gordy's "The Last Dragon". This film is a really entertaining blend of music, martial arts, and comedy. I remember seeing it as a kid and I was hooked!

The lead character is named Bruce Leroy. I mean, what a start! It just grabs you right there. Here he is:


His nemesis is called Sho'nuff, The Shogun of Harlem:


The tale chronicles Leroy's quest to find the final level of mastery which will grant him the power called "The Glow". The film has all the necessary elements for this genre:
-initial inner doubt
-search for meaning
-conflict and failure
-redemption

The fight scenes are pretty good and the film is really fun to watch. I have to say, "The Glow" is pretty stang cool:

One of my all time favorites.

In contrast with the above film (which goes out of it's way to not take itself too seriously) we have "Kill and Kill Again":


Now for some reason known only to my inner self, I LOVE this film. That said, this film is terrible. The acting is really bad. The plot is weak. You name it.

It was however the pioneer of the now ubiquitous film tool called bullet-time. Here is the scene:

Wow, that was so cool, yes?

Back to the film. The lead character is Steve Chase. He has a whole team around him as they try and stop the evil madman Marduk from creating an army of mindless slaves via some potion. I know, gripping stuff.

Mainly I think it is the aerial acrobatics and numerous fight scenes that make this film work. Of course the final fight is a bit puzzling; Marduk has created an ultimate warrior to defeat Steve Chase. The fighter is named, wait for it, The Optimus! That rocks and you know it. I want to change my name right now.

Anyways, the thing is The Optimus looks like he is 50 years old or more! I mean could they not find a better looking Optimus? Geez, this guy looks set for retirement after Steve Chase clobbers him:

Great yelling by the way and a perfect 10 from the East German judge on the gymnastic floor routine!

Still, I own the film and will watch it from time to time. You gotta love martial arts.

If people like this stuff, maybe I will cover "No Retreat, No Surrender" tomorrow!

Have a good night.

Sunday, August 1, 2010

Spirit of St. Louis Sunday

This weekend flew by. Another Monday is close at hand. Ugh. Oh well. I did cook something today so here comes another cooking post! Vegetarians should leave now.

Spirit of St. Louis Sunday
So the Big Steel Keg forum is having a BBQ ribs throwdown contest. We will all cook spare ribs, take a couple of pictures, and then votes will be cast on the final product. I can do this post because I am not going to show the final pictures I will submit and the way we have to show them will look nothing like these pics so no one should know which are mine. I do not think I will be even close to winning anyway; these ribs came out excellent but they did not look mall that pretty.

Anyways, I went with St. Louis style spare ribs. I cooked two racks so I could take the best looking set. I did two different spice rubs as well. Everything had to be done outside due to no kitchen of course. Here is the meat before:

All rubbed up with spices:


The last picture I will put up shows the ribs after about 4 hours at 250 degrees. This is before the saucing step but I will leave that picture out. Here they are:


Like I said, not pretty but they were tasty! I brought them up to a friends house and the couple and their kids ate them all up. Good stuff.

Have a good night.